{"id":8846,"date":"2024-01-11T17:00:33","date_gmt":"2024-01-11T16:00:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ismfrance.org\/?p=8846"},"modified":"2024-01-11T17:09:36","modified_gmt":"2024-01-11T16:09:36","slug":"les-illusions-brisees-par-le-genocide-de-gaza-2-le-deluge-dal-aqsa-et-lillusion-de-la-securite-israelienne","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ismfrance.org\/index.php\/2024\/01\/11\/les-illusions-brisees-par-le-genocide-de-gaza-2-le-deluge-dal-aqsa-et-lillusion-de-la-securite-israelienne\/","title":{"rendered":"Le D\u00e9luge d\u2019Al-Aqsa et l’illusion de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 isra\u00e9lienne"},"content":{"rendered":"

Dr Qossay Hamed, 11 janvier 2024<\/strong>. Le 7 octobre 2023, la capacit\u00e9 du Hamas \u00e0 nuire \u00e0 Isra\u00ebl \u00ab chez lui \u00bb et \u00e0 p\u00e9n\u00e9trer ses structures militaires, s\u00e9curitaires et techniques, a \u00e9branl\u00e9 le sentiment de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 et la confiance des Isra\u00e9liens dans leur syst\u00e8me s\u00e9curitaire et militaire. L’op\u00e9ration \u00ab D\u00e9luge d’Al-Aqsa\u00a0\u00bb a sem\u00e9 le doute sur l’efficacit\u00e9 des politiques et des croyances qui r\u00e9gissaient la doctrine de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 isra\u00e9lienne. Isra\u00ebl s\u2019est depuis longtemps efforc\u00e9 de renforcer sa sup\u00e9riorit\u00e9 militaire et son syst\u00e8me de dissuasion et s\u2019est immunis\u00e9 avec une cl\u00f4ture \u00e9lectronique, un mur en b\u00e9ton et un d\u00f4me de fer pour renforcer ses capacit\u00e9s contre toute contre-attaque. L\u2019\u00e9chec de ces mesures pour \u00e9loigner les citoyens isra\u00e9liens du danger, en particulier l’\u00e9chec des institutions de renseignement dans l’anticipation de la menace du Hamas de commettre une attaque exceptionnelle et massive contre les colonies isra\u00e9liennes, a mis la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 isra\u00e9lienne en jeu. Isra\u00ebl se vantait de se pr\u00e9senter comme une \u00ab oasis de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 \u00bb prot\u00e9g\u00e9e par un syst\u00e8me technico-militaire sophistiqu\u00e9.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Le \u00ab D\u00e9luge d’Al-Aqsa \u00bb a r\u00e9v\u00e9l\u00e9 l’effondrement douloureux de la strat\u00e9gie s\u00e9curitaire isra\u00e9lienne face au Hamas et \u00e0 la r\u00e9sistance palestinienne. Au cours des ann\u00e9es qui ont suivi le retrait unilat\u00e9ral isra\u00e9lien de la bande de Gaza en 2005 et le contr\u00f4le du Hamas sur celle-ci en 2007, Isra\u00ebl a cru qu’en contenant le Hamas par quelques progr\u00e8s \u00e9conomiques limit\u00e9s -en \u00e9change de n\u00e9gociations pour maintenir le calme- et en le dissuadant par quelques frappes militaires fortes qui l\u2019\u00e9puiseraient au niveau militaire seraient \u00e0 la fois possibles et capables de rendre l\u2019escalade impossible. <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Les d\u00e9clarations faites par Tzachi Hanegbi, pr\u00e9sident du Conseil de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 nationale isra\u00e9lien, t\u00e9moignent de la conviction des dirigeants politiques et militaires isra\u00e9liens de l’efficacit\u00e9 de la poursuite de ces politiques contre le Hamas, malgr\u00e9 les capacit\u00e9s croissantes \u00e9videntes de ce dernier. Il a ainsi minimis\u00e9 le d\u00e9fi que le Hamas pourrait poser \u00e0 la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 d’Isra\u00ebl, affirmant que le Hamas avait tir\u00e9 une le\u00e7on impitoyable des derni\u00e8res frappes militaires de la guerre de mai 2021 et que le mouvement islamique s’accrochait aux progr\u00e8s \u00e9conomiques dans la bande de Gaza. Mais apr\u00e8s chaque guerre acharn\u00e9e que le Hamas a d\u00fb livrer contre Isra\u00ebl, le premier a fait preuve d\u2019une plus grande force et d\u2019une plus grande solidit\u00e9 lors de la guerre suivante et a utilis\u00e9 de meilleures armes, notamment des missiles \u00e0 longue port\u00e9e et des drones.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

La capacit\u00e9 du Hamas \u00e0 cibler les colonies isra\u00e9liennes \u00e0 la fronti\u00e8re sud, parall\u00e8lement aux menaces actives du Hezbollah contre celles du nord, a non seulement rendu insoluble la question de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 et de la stabilit\u00e9 d’Isra\u00ebl sur les deux fronts, mais a surtout diminu\u00e9 le sentiment de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 des populations. Les Isra\u00e9liens ont remis en question leur \u00e9tat d’esprit quant \u00e0 l\u00e9gitimit\u00e9 de leur arm\u00e9e. Depuis le \u00ab D\u00e9luge d’Al-Aqsa \u00bb, les Palestiniens ne sont plus isol\u00e9s face \u00e0 Isra\u00ebl, comme ce fut le cas dans les attaques pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes. Pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis plus de cinquante ans, Isra\u00ebl devient vuln\u00e9rable aux attaques sur plusieurs fronts. Malgr\u00e9 le succ\u00e8s des initiatives politiques et de la pression internationale pour limiter une guerre r\u00e9gionale qui impliquerait l\u2019Iran, l\u2019escalade des attaques du Hezbollah en conjonction avec les frappes de missiles des Houthis ont fait na\u00eetre les craintes d\u2019Isra\u00ebl d\u2019\u00eatre impliqu\u00e9 dans une confrontation \u00e0 laquelle sa culture militaire n\u2019est plus habitu\u00e9e depuis 1973. Et cela a rendu encore plus compliqu\u00e9e l\u2019absence de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 parmi les Isra\u00e9liens, puisqu’ils ont \u00e9t\u00e9 oblig\u00e9s d’\u00e9vacuer les colonies situ\u00e9es \u00e0 la fronti\u00e8re nord ou \u00e0 fuir vers des abris et ailleurs dans les territoires occup\u00e9s de 1948.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Cependant, il ne s\u2019agit pas simplement de convaincre les Isra\u00e9liens de revenir dans leurs maisons abandonn\u00e9es, \u00e0 la lumi\u00e8re de l\u2019hostilit\u00e9 croissante \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9gard d\u2019Isra\u00ebl, qui constitue un d\u00e9fi de taille. De m\u00eame que d\u00e9fendre la propagande isra\u00e9lienne selon laquelle il s\u2019agit d\u2019une \u00ab patrie s\u00fbre \u00bb pour les juifs n\u2019est gu\u00e8re plus convaincant \u00e9tant donn\u00e9 la vuln\u00e9rabilit\u00e9 de l\u2019arm\u00e9e isra\u00e9lienne. Les deux d\u00e9fis d\u00e9pendent en effet de la capacit\u00e9 d\u2019Isra\u00ebl \u00e0 garantir la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 de la population, ce qui l’obligera non seulement \u00e0 adopter une strat\u00e9gie d\u00e9fensive forte, mais aussi \u00e0 convaincre que l\u2019\u00e9chec du 7 octobre fut un d\u00e9sastre qui ne se reproduira pas. Selon un rapport publi\u00e9 par le <\/span><\/span>Times of Israel<\/i><\/span><\/span>, plus de 370.000 Isra\u00e9liens ont quitt\u00e9 le pays au lendemain du 7 octobre. Et ces chiffres devraient augmenter \u00e0 mesure que l\u2019instabilit\u00e9 s\u00e9curitaire se poursuivra.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Qossay HAMED<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Article original en anglais sur <\/span><\/span>Twala.info<\/span><\/a> \/ Traduction MR<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/em><\/pre>\n
Qossay Hamed est titulaire d’un doctorat en Sciences Politiques-Bordeaux.<\/span><\/span> Doyen-adjoint de la Facult\u00e9 des nouveaux m\u00e9dias de l’Universit\u00e9 ouverte d’Al-Quds (Palestine). Expert du conflit palestino-isra\u00e9lien. Auteur de \u00ab Le Hamas au pouvoir : la question de la transformation<\/a> \u00bb publi\u00e9 en 2023.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Dr Qossay Hamed, 11 janvier 2024. Le 7 octobre 2023, la capacit\u00e9 du Hamas \u00e0 nuire \u00e0 Isra\u00ebl \u00ab chez lui \u00bb et \u00e0 p\u00e9n\u00e9trer ses structures militaires, s\u00e9curitaires et Lire la suite →<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":8851,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12,2],"tags":[348,65,156],"class_list":["post-8846","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analyses","category-articles","tag-7-octobre-2023","tag-armement-israelien","tag-genocide"],"yoast_head":"\nLe D\u00e9luge d\u2019Al-Aqsa et l'illusion de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 isra\u00e9lienne - International Solidarity Movement - ISM-France<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ismfrance.org\/index.php\/2024\/01\/11\/les-illusions-brisees-par-le-genocide-de-gaza-2-le-deluge-dal-aqsa-et-lillusion-de-la-securite-israelienne\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Le D\u00e9luge d\u2019Al-Aqsa et l'illusion de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 isra\u00e9lienne - International Solidarity Movement - ISM-France\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Dr Qossay Hamed, 11 janvier 2024. 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