{"id":29139,"date":"2026-05-08T19:20:51","date_gmt":"2026-05-08T17:20:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ismfrance.org\/?p=29139"},"modified":"2026-05-08T19:20:51","modified_gmt":"2026-05-08T17:20:51","slug":"iran-usrael-ou-la-quadrature-du-cercle","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ismfrance.org\/index.php\/2026\/05\/08\/iran-usrael-ou-la-quadrature-du-cercle\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran\/USra\u00ebl ou la quadrature du cercle"},"content":{"rendered":"

Daniel Vanhove, 8 mai 2026. –<\/strong> Nonobstant les d\u00e9clarations aussi insens\u00e9es qu\u2019erratiques de la part du pr\u00e9sident am\u00e9ricain, le suivi r\u00e9gulier de ce dossier ne trompe aucun observateur. Dans une situation aussi complexe pour diff\u00e9rentes raisons, le r\u00e9gime isra\u00e9lien a pi\u00e9g\u00e9 la stupide administration am\u00e9ricaine, et celle-ci est d\u00e9sormais prise \u00e0 revers. Malgr\u00e9 des menaces r\u00e9p\u00e9t\u00e9es et le d\u00e9ploiement d\u2019une armada massive dans la r\u00e9gion, elle a compris ne pouvoir atteindre aucun des objectifs militaires vis\u00e9s par ses forces conventionnelles tout en s\u2019isolant d\u2019une majorit\u00e9 d\u2019\u00c9tats ne la suivant pas dans cette aventure absurde. C\u2019\u00e9tait la guerre \u00e0 ne pas faire\u00a0!<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>

Rencontre entre Seyed Abbas Araghchi, ministre des Affaires \u00e9trang\u00e8res de la R\u00e9publique islamique d’Iran, et Wang Yi, ministre des Affaires \u00e9trang\u00e8res de la Chine, \u00e0 P\u00e9kin, le 6 mai 2026.<\/p><\/div>\n

Le retour \u00e0 la diplomatie semble donc la seule issue pour le gouvernement Trump, afin de trouver une porte de sortie lui permettant de ne pas \u00eatre totalement humili\u00e9 et se pr\u00e9senter avec un message quelque peu positif, m\u00eame s\u2019il ne dupera personne. Le temps joue contre l\u2019administration r\u00e9publicaine qui doit imp\u00e9rativement tenter de sauver les meubles avant les \u00e9lections de mi-mandat, et soulager l\u2019\u00e9conomie mondiale d\u2019une crise \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique qui s\u2019annonce d\u2019ores et d\u00e9j\u00e0 d\u00e9sastreuse pour les mois \u00e0 venir. <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Sauf que cela constitue le pire d\u00e9nouement imaginable pour le r\u00e9gime isra\u00e9lien qui ne veut en aucun cas desserrer son \u00e9tau sur l\u2019Iran maintenant qu\u2019il en a saisi l\u2019occasion, et comprend bien qu\u2019une telle opportunit\u00e9 ne se repr\u00e9sentera plus avant longtemps, sinon jamais.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

La question est donc de savoir si le gouvernement du criminel de guerre Netanyahu, de plus en plus d\u00e9cri\u00e9 et qui ne tient que par les fronts divers contre ses voisins, restera indiff\u00e9rent devant le pire des cauchemars pour lui\u00a0: un retrait de la menace am\u00e9ricaine contre l\u2019Iran, la perte de son soutien majeur sur le terrain des op\u00e9rations et une victoire iranienne \u00e9vidente. En d\u2019autres mots, l\u2019horreur absolue pour ce r\u00e9gime de terreur, habitu\u00e9 \u00e0 faire ce qu\u2019il veut, vu l\u2019impunit\u00e9 totale dont il b\u00e9n\u00e9ficie par la l\u00e2chet\u00e9 de nos \u00c9tats complices.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Connaissant l\u2019esprit belliqueux des diff\u00e9rents gouvernements isra\u00e9liens depuis toujours, cette option semble improbable. Et l\u2019on peut donc s\u2019attendre \u00e0 diff\u00e9rents sc\u00e9narios. Soit le r\u00e9gime colonial poss\u00e8de les leviers pour contraindre les \u00c9tats-unis \u00e0 poursuivre leur offensive militaire avec des moyens massifs pour d\u00e9vaster l\u2019Iran de mani\u00e8re irr\u00e9versible, mais avec les risques annonc\u00e9s d\u2019une r\u00e9ponse sans appel de ce dernier dont on a vu les capacit\u00e9s redoutables. Soit, il poursuit sa propre offensive, sans l\u2019appui am\u00e9ricain affich\u00e9, ayant alors l\u2019excuse de recourir \u00e0 des armes prohib\u00e9es dont Dimona pourrait \u00eatre envisag\u00e9. Mais avec, l\u00e0 aussi, les risques d\u2019une r\u00e9ponse fulgurante de l\u2019Iran qui, on le sait, ne se laissera pas intimider et a d\u00e9j\u00e0 averti que des r\u00e9ponses in\u00e9dites seraient utilis\u00e9es.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Dans tous les cas, une issue diplomatique plut\u00f4t que militaire verrait le projet du \u00ab Grand Isra\u00ebl \u00bb s\u00e9rieusement compromis pour ne pas dire r\u00e9duit \u00e0 n\u00e9ant, dans la mesure o\u00f9 l\u2019Iran a plusieurs fois averti que le r\u00e9gime sioniste devait retourner \u00e0 ses fronti\u00e8res d\u2019origine et lib\u00e9rer les terres vol\u00e9es tant au Liban, qu\u2019en Syrie et en Palestine. Bref, une r\u00e9gression compl\u00e8te des plans expansionnistes isra\u00e9liens qui n\u2019ont eu de cesse de s\u2019\u00e9tendre tout au long de la courte histoire de cet \u00c9tat colonial.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Les int\u00e9r\u00eats des uns et des autres se trouvent ainsi \u00e0 l\u2019extr\u00eame oppos\u00e9, laissant penser qu\u2019en ces termes, une sortie de crise n\u2019est acceptable pour aucun des protagonistes. Le r\u00e9gime g\u00e9nocidaire isra\u00e9lien n\u2019est certainement pas pr\u00eat pour renoncer \u00e0 ses projets d\u2019expansion\u00a0; celui des \u00c9tats-unis largement soutenu par des fonds sionistes ne peut ignorer\u00a0ses donateurs sans provoquer une crise majeure au niveau de sa p\u00e9rennit\u00e9 ; et l\u2019Iran ne peut se contenter d\u2019un retour \u00e0 la case d\u00e9part. Il vient de marquer des points et n\u2019entend rien c\u00e9der de ses exigences en mati\u00e8re de contr\u00f4le sur le D\u00e9troit d\u2019Ormuz, ni de ses revendications \u00e0 propos de la justice qu\u2019il entend imposer \u00e0 une communaut\u00e9 internationale faillie sur la question au centre de laquelle figure la Palestine.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Nous nous trouvons donc \u00e0 la quadrature d\u2019un cercle, bien plus vicieux qu\u2019il n\u2019y para\u00eet, et outre les incessants atermoiements du pr\u00e9sident Trump, tout indique que l\u2019issue de cette guerre d\u2019entre les plus aigu\u00ebs de la r\u00e9gion, ne semble pas se dessiner pour demain. Les enjeux sont vitaux pour les parties. Il y faudra beaucoup de doigt\u00e9 pour en sortir, ce qui ne semble pas \u00eatre la qualit\u00e9 premi\u00e8re du pr\u00e9sident fantasque am\u00e9ricain. Ni celle de Netanyahu et consorts, toujours anim\u00e9s par leur supr\u00e9macisme maladif. Alors que chaque jour qui passe alourdit un peu plus l\u2019ardoise que l\u2019\u00e9conomie mondiale finira par payer pour les crimes de cette caste mafieuse et des gouvernements complices qui y participent, laissant se d\u00e9rouler l\u2019innommable sous leurs yeux, et qu\u2019un nombre toujours plus grand de citoyens du monde d\u00e9crient et abhorrent.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Daniel Vanhove, 8 mai 2026. – Nonobstant les d\u00e9clarations aussi insens\u00e9es qu\u2019erratiques de la part du pr\u00e9sident am\u00e9ricain, le suivi r\u00e9gulier de ce dossier ne trompe aucun observateur. Dans une Lire la suite →<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":29141,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12,2],"tags":[138],"class_list":["post-29139","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analyses","category-articles","tag-iran"],"yoast_head":"\nIran\/USra\u00ebl ou la quadrature du cercle - International Solidarity Movement - ISM-France<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ismfrance.org\/index.php\/2026\/05\/08\/iran-usrael-ou-la-quadrature-du-cercle\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Iran\/USra\u00ebl ou la quadrature du cercle - International Solidarity Movement - ISM-France\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Daniel Vanhove, 8 mai 2026. – Nonobstant les d\u00e9clarations aussi insens\u00e9es qu\u2019erratiques de la part du pr\u00e9sident am\u00e9ricain, le suivi r\u00e9gulier de ce dossier ne trompe aucun observateur. 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