{"id":28975,"date":"2026-05-02T11:32:22","date_gmt":"2026-05-02T09:32:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ismfrance.org\/?p=28975"},"modified":"2026-05-02T11:32:22","modified_gmt":"2026-05-02T09:32:22","slug":"liran-peut-prosperer-sous-blocus-contrairement-aux-etats-unis-et-a-leurs-allies","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ismfrance.org\/index.php\/2026\/05\/02\/liran-peut-prosperer-sous-blocus-contrairement-aux-etats-unis-et-a-leurs-allies\/","title":{"rendered":"L’Iran peut prosp\u00e9rer sous blocus, contrairement aux \u00c9tats-Unis et \u00e0 leurs alli\u00e9s"},"content":{"rendered":"

Robert Inlakesh, 1er mai 2026.<\/strong> \u2013 Alors que les responsables de l’administration Trump ont affirm\u00e9 \u00e0 maintes reprises que leur blocus du d\u00e9troit d’Ormuz impos\u00e9 par l’Iran \u00e9tait une strat\u00e9gie gagnante, T\u00e9h\u00e9ran, au contraire, prosp\u00e8re. Au lieu de saisir l’opportunit\u00e9 offerte par le cessez-le-feu temporaire pour trouver une porte de sortie viable, Washington s’est livr\u00e9 \u00e0 des contorsions intellectuelles pour faire croire \u00e0 l’opinion publique qu’il s’agissait d’une impunit\u00e9 illusoire.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>

Illustration Zeinab al-Hajj pour Al Mayadeen.<\/p><\/div>\n

Le secr\u00e9taire au Tr\u00e9sor am\u00e9ricain, Scott Bessent, a pr\u00e9tendu que l’industrie p\u00e9troli\u00e8re iranienne souffrait terriblement du blocus impos\u00e9 \u00e0 ses exportations, allant m\u00eame jusqu’\u00e0 tenir des propos extravagants sur l’in\u00e9vitabilit\u00e9 de la destruction des infrastructures p\u00e9troli\u00e8res. Si la saisie par les \u00c9tats-Unis de p\u00e9troliers et de navires li\u00e9s \u00e0 l’Iran a ind\u00e9niablement un impact, celui-ci est largement surestim\u00e9 par une administration am\u00e9ricaine \u00e0 court d’options viables. <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Croire les propos du pr\u00e9sident am\u00e9ricain Donald Trump et de ses hauts responsables reviendrait \u00e0 croire qu’avoir recours \u00e0 la \u00ab carte Uno Reverse<\/a> \u00bb, comme cela a \u00e9t\u00e9 dit ironiquement, allait entra\u00eener l’effondrement de l’\u00e9conomie iranienne.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Pourtant, les \u00c9tats-Unis continuent d’imposer de nouvelles sanctions \u00e0 l’Iran, cherchant \u00e0 saisir ou geler davantage de ses avoirs, tout en multipliant les menaces. Si le blocus am\u00e9ricain, qui n’arrive pas \u00e0 bloquer tout trafic maritime \u00e0 destination et en provenance d’Iran, \u00e9tait si efficace, ces autres mesures, bien moins radicales, seraient incompr\u00e9hensibles.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

M\u00eame des think tanks<\/em> sionistes bellicistes, comme la Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD), militent pour des tactiques plus agressives et une escalade du conflit. Par exemple, la FDD, bas\u00e9e \u00e0 Washington, a r\u00e9cemment publi\u00e9 une note d’information intitul\u00e9e \u00ab Trump s’attaque au commerce p\u00e9trolier chinois avec l’Iran, mais ce n’est pas suffisant<\/em> \u00bb. Autrement dit, personne n’est convaincu par les strat\u00e9gies de Trump, pas m\u00eame les plus fervents partisans d’une guerre contre l’Iran. Dans les faits, la R\u00e9publique islamique d’Iran survit sous le joug des sanctions am\u00e9ricaines depuis pr\u00e8s de 47 ans. Bien que l’impact de ces sanctions ait vari\u00e9 au fil des phases du conflit qui l’oppose aux \u00c9tats-Unis, l’Iran a su s’adapter \u00e0 sa situation. Le pays a surv\u00e9cu \u00e0 huit ann\u00e9es de guerre brutale contre ses voisins, apr\u00e8s l’attaque men\u00e9e par l’ancien pr\u00e9sident irakien Saddam Hussein au nom des \u00c9tats-Unis, et a subi les campagnes de sanctions les plus brutales jamais inflig\u00e9es.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Au fil des ans, les \u00c9tats-Unis ont rendu l’Iran de facto<\/i> insensible aux sanctions. Cela ne signifie pas pour autant qu’elles sont inefficaces\u00a0; il est clair que l’\u00e9conomie iranienne a \u00e9t\u00e9 durement touch\u00e9e et que la population civile en subit les cons\u00e9quences les plus graves. Mais la le\u00e7on \u00e0 retenir est que la R\u00e9publique islamique ne s’effondrera pas en quelques semaines ou quelques mois, simplement parce que les \u00c9tats-Unis bloquent le passage de certains navires iraniens.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Pour rappel, en 2018, lorsque le pr\u00e9sident Trump a impos\u00e9 sa politique de pression maximale \u2013 suite \u00e0 sa d\u00e9cision de se retirer unilat\u00e9ralement de l’accord nucl\u00e9aire de 2015 \u2013 les exportations quotidiennes de p\u00e9trole iranien ont chut\u00e9 brutalement \u00e0 350.000 barils par jour. Ce niveau est rest\u00e9 bas pendant environ 33 mois, jusqu’\u00e0 ce que T\u00e9h\u00e9ran parvienne \u00e0 se redresser. Cette reprise a permis \u00e0 l’Iran d’exporter \u00e0 nouveau environ 2,5 millions de barils par jour. Au plus fort de la premi\u00e8re phase du conflit actuel, l’Iran a m\u00eame enregistr\u00e9 des recettes p\u00e9troli\u00e8res record, in\u00e9dites depuis le triomphe de la r\u00e9volution islamique de 1979.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

De plus, les Iraniens ont instaur\u00e9 un statu quo<\/i> interdisant le passage du d\u00e9troit d’Ormuz sans le paiement pr\u00e9alable d’un p\u00e9age\u00a0; une mesure qui non seulement leur a permis de contr\u00f4ler ce point de passage strat\u00e9gique, mais qui g\u00e9n\u00e9rera in\u00e9vitablement d’\u00e9normes profits \u00e0 long terme.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

L’Iran n’a pas c\u00e9d\u00e9 sous les ann\u00e9es de sanctions de pression maximale et la forte baisse de ses exportations de p\u00e9trole. Ses voisins du Golfe, eux, n’auront pas cette chance. Les dommages inflig\u00e9s aux alli\u00e9s des \u00c9tats-Unis, comme les \u00c9mirats arabes unis (EAU), ont d\u00e9j\u00e0 d\u00e9pass\u00e9 le seuil n\u00e9cessaire pour causer des dommages permanents. Les responsables \u00e9miratis ont peut-\u00eatre m\u00eame renforc\u00e9 leur soutien au projet sioniste et \u00e0 la destruction de l’Iran, en se retirant de l’OPEP et en pr\u00e9tendant utiliser des routes d’exportation alternatives, mais chacun sait que ces options n’existent tout simplement pas.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

En fin de compte, il \u00e9tait in\u00e9vitable que les \u00c9tats-Unis c\u00e8dent sous le poids des r\u00e9percussions \u00e9conomiques, en raison de la fermeture totale du d\u00e9troit d’Ormuz, une pression qui n’a fait que s’aggraver apr\u00e8s la d\u00e9cision absurde de Trump d’imposer son propre blocus.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Par cons\u00e9quent, l’\u00e9chec retentissant de l’administration Trump ne pouvait mener qu’\u00e0 deux issues possibles\u00a0: un retrait complet des \u00c9tats-Unis ou la reprise de la guerre.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Article original en anglais sur Al Mayadeen<\/a> \/ Traduction MR<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Robert Inlakesh, 1er mai 2026. \u2013 Alors que les responsables de l’administration Trump ont affirm\u00e9 \u00e0 maintes reprises que leur blocus du d\u00e9troit d’Ormuz impos\u00e9 par l’Iran \u00e9tait une strat\u00e9gie Lire la suite →<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":28977,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12,2],"tags":[138],"class_list":["post-28975","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analyses","category-articles","tag-iran"],"yoast_head":"\nL'Iran peut prosp\u00e9rer sous blocus, contrairement aux \u00c9tats-Unis et \u00e0 leurs alli\u00e9s - International Solidarity Movement - ISM-France<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ismfrance.org\/index.php\/2026\/05\/02\/liran-peut-prosperer-sous-blocus-contrairement-aux-etats-unis-et-a-leurs-allies\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"L'Iran peut prosp\u00e9rer sous blocus, contrairement aux \u00c9tats-Unis et \u00e0 leurs alli\u00e9s - 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